Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.33% | 26.24% | 32.43% |
Both teams to score 52.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% | 51.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% | 73.58% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% | 24.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% | 59.33% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% | 29.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% | 66.07% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |