Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Araujo (85')
Andre (30'), Celik (43'), Mandava (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Delort (21')
Mollet (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
54.51%	24.16%	21.33%

Both teams to score 50.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.13%

50.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25%

72.74%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44%

18.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18%

49.82%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52%

38.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.77%

75.22%

Score Analysis

Lille 54.49%

Montpellier HSC 21.33%

Draw 24.15%

Lille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.82% 1-2 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Lille vs Montpellier

Lille

81.6%

Draw

10.5%

Montpellier HSC

7.9%