Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.