Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Mar 21, 2021 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lens

Bellegarde (20')
T. (42'), Thomasson (42'), Sissoko (44')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Haidara (5'), Fofana (40')
Bade (19'), Medina (44'), Doucoure (86'), Jean (90'), Leca (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
32.54%	27.1%	40.37%

Both teams to score 50.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.8%

55.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56%

76.44%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41%

31.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.01%

67.99%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 32.54%

Lens 40.36%

Draw 27.09%

Strasbourg	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.54%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lens

Strasbourg

23.8%

Draw

4.8%

Lens

71.4%