Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Clermont |
| 62.38% | 20.14% | 17.49% |
| Both teams to score 56.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% | 38.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.83% | 61.17% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% | 11.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.7% | 37.3% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% | 35.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% | 72.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Clermont |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 7.03% 3-0 @ 6.8% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.99% Total : 62.38% | 1-1 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 5.12% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.14% | 1-2 @ 4.82% 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.49% |