Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 4
PSG

Honorat (42'), Mounie (85')
Brassier (52')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Herrera (23'), Mbappe (36'), Gueye (73'), di Maria (90')
Verratti (54'), Mbappe (65')

Reaction

Angel Di Maria pictured for Paris Saint-Germain in August 2021

Paris St Germain continue winning start with hard-fought win at Brest

Lionel Messi, Neymar and Sergio Ramos were all missing as Mauricio Pochettino's side claimed a third straight league win.

Aug 20, 21:33

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
13.8%	18.6%	67.61%

Both teams to score 53.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.82%

39.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.49%

61.52%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.9%

77.1%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35%

10.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.5%

34.5%

Score Analysis

Brest 13.8%

Paris Saint-Germain 67.6%

Draw 18.6%

Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.95% 1-0 @ 3.9% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.67% Total : 13.8%	1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.42% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.6%	0-2 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-4 @ 4.52% 1-4 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.3% 0-5 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.83% Other @ 4.36% Total : 67.6%