Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Metz |
| 49.96% | 26.25% | 23.79% |
| Both teams to score 46.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% | 56.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% | 22.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% | 56.31% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% | 39.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% | 75.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.79% |