Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Marseille |
| 26.53% | 25.67% | 47.8% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% | 52.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% | 73.94% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% | 34.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% | 71.23% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% | 21.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% | 55.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.8% |