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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Marseille

Metz
1 - 1
Marseille

Boulaya (90+7' pen.)
Bronn (36'), Sarr (42'), Ambrose (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Milik (90+14' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Payet (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawMarseille
26.53%25.67%47.8%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77%52.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06%73.94%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49%34.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77%71.23%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14%21.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91%55.09%
Score Analysis
    Metz 26.53%
    Marseille 47.8%
    Draw 25.66%
MetzDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Metz vs Marseille

Metz
20.6%
Draw
5.9%
Marseille
73.5%
34
rhs 2.0


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