Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Nimes |
| 35.7% | 27.18% | 37.12% |
| Both teams to score 50.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% | 55.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% | 76.34% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% | 29.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% | 65.48% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.11% |