Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
| 54.11% | 22.88% | 23.02% |
| Both teams to score 56.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% | 43.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% | 65.94% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% | 16.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% | 45.38% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% | 32.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% | 69.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.02% |