Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 12, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 2
Troyes

Maiga (33'), de Preville (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (50'), Chavalerin (84')
Azamoum (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Troyes
30.04%	26.52%	43.44%

Both teams to score 50.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27%

53.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78%

75.22%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87%

69.13%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45%

24.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.96%

59.04%

Score Analysis

Metz 30.04%

Troyes 43.43%

Draw 26.51%

Metz	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.43%

How you voted: Metz vs Troyes

Metz

80.0%

Draw

17.5%

Troyes

2.5%