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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 26.46% | 22.67% | 50.86% |
| Both teams to score 61.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% | 39.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% | 61.54% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% | 63.24% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% | 15.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.41% | 44.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 5.93% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.81% 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.86% |