Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern

Laimer (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
24.32%	22.2%	53.48%

Both teams to score 60.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98%

39.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66%

61.34%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79%

29.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84%

65.16%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35%

14.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21%

42.79%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 24.32%

Bayern Munich 53.48%

Draw 22.19%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.22% 1-0 @ 5.27% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.26% Total : 24.32%	1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-3 @ 5.05% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.48%