Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	RB Leipzig
39.01%	24.99%	35.99%

Both teams to score 57.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31%

45.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99%

68.01%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77%

23.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.13%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16%

24.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57%

59.42%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 39.01%

RB Leipzig 35.99%

Draw 24.98%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.01%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98%	1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 35.99%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund

80.0%

Draw

10.5%

RB Leipzig

9.5%