Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
61.84% | 22.6% | 15.56% |
Both teams to score 44.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% | 52.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% | 74.35% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% | 16.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% | 46.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% | 81.98% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.2% 5-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 61.83% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.3% Total : 15.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |