Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 41.71% | 28.54% | 29.75% |
| Both teams to score 44.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.83% | 61.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.88% | 81.12% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% | 36.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% | 73.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.58% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.74% |