Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
| 26% | 27.28% | 46.71% |
| Both teams to score 46.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% | 58.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% | 79.13% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% | 38.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% | 75.16% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% | 25.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% | 59.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.57% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 13.32% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-3 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.47% 1-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.71% |