Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 29, 2021 at 12pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 2
Monaco

Aguilar (51' og.)
El Hajjam (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diop (40', 58')
Maripan (28'), Tchouameni (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Monaco
25.97%	24.97%	49.05%

Both teams to score 52.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16%

49.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16%

71.83%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31%

33.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66%

70.33%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66%

20.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.26%

52.73%

Score Analysis

Troyes 25.97%

Monaco 49.05%

Draw 24.97%

Troyes	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.46% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.97%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.05%

How you voted: Troyes vs Monaco

Troyes

6.9%

Draw

11.5%

Monaco

81.6%