Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 49.57% | 25.02% | 25.41% |
| Both teams to score 52.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% | 50.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% | 72.38% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% | 20.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% | 52.77% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% | 34.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% | 71.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.41% |