Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.