Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.