Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 68.86% | 19.26% | 11.87% |
| Both teams to score 45.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% | 46.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% | 12.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.48% | 38.52% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.46% | 83.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 13.08% 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 4.71% 4-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.27% | 0-1 @ 4.39% 1-2 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.87% |