Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
| 39.84% | 26.91% | 33.25% |
| Both teams to score 50.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% | 26.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% | 61.94% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% | 66.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.25% |