Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Rennes |
| 20.42% | 25.71% | 53.87% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.43% | 57.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% | 78.35% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% | 43.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% | 79.52% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% | 54.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 3.26% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.08% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 14.29% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.87% |