Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 17, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 0
Lens

Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
38.16%	25%	36.84%

Both teams to score 57.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32%

45.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

68%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34%

23.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24%

57.76%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64%

24.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23%

58.76%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 38.16%

Lens 36.84%

Draw 25%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.84%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC

30.2%

Draw

14.0%

Lens

55.8%