Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 44.29% | 25.86% | 29.85% |
| Both teams to score 52.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% | 51.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% | 73% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% | 23.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% | 56.82% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% | 67.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.85% |