Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 48.99% | 25.67% | 25.33% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% | 54.85% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% | 35.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% | 72.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.99% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.34% |