Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Oct 27, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
1 - 1
Marseille

Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Marseille
34.42%	28.16%	37.42%

Both teams to score 47.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09%

58.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6%

79.4%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29%

68.71%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68%

30.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5%

66.5%

Score Analysis

Nice 34.42%

Marseille 37.41%

Draw 28.16%

Nice	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.41%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice

55.3%

Draw

22.9%

Marseille

21.8%