Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 30.08% | 25.51% | 44.42% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% | 49.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% | 71.62% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% | 30.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% | 66.65% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% | 22.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% | 55.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.41% |