Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
4 - 1
Lorient

Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lorient
58.62%	23.23%	18.15%

Both teams to score 47.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81%

51.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96%

73.03%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82%

17.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57%

47.43%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.86%

42.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.44%

78.55%

Score Analysis

Marseille 58.61%

Lorient 18.15%

Draw 23.22%

Marseille	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.61%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.15%