Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Nice |
| 34.26% | 25.93% | 39.81% |
| Both teams to score 54.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% | 50.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% | 72.06% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% | 24.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% | 59.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.81% |