Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
| 39.63% | 27.96% | 32.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% | 58.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% | 28.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% | 64.63% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.42% |