Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.