Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Nov 20, 2021 at 4pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Nantes

Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
74.96%	15.61%	9.43%

Both teams to score 48.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.92%

37.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.71%

59.28%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63%

8.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.88%

29.12%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.37%

46.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.79%

82.2%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.95%

Nantes 9.43%

Draw 15.61%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 12% 3-0 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 6.16% 4-1 @ 4.7% 5-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.27% 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.44% Total : 74.95%	1-1 @ 7.38% 0-0 @ 3.9% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.83% Total : 15.61%	0-1 @ 2.98% 1-2 @ 2.82% 0-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.5% Total : 9.43%