Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Lens

Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lens had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lens
58.94%	22.02%	19.04%

Both teams to score 53.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76%

67.24%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.12%

14.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.77%

43.23%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57%

37.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78%

74.21%

Score Analysis

Lyon 58.93%

Lens 19.04%

Draw 22.01%

Lyon	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 5.47% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.04%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon

59.1%

Draw

27.3%

Lens

13.6%