Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
| 58.87% | 22.35% | 18.77% |
| Both teams to score 51.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% | 46.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% | 68.96% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% | 15.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% | 44.43% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% | 38.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% | 75.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 6.15% 4-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.7% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.77% |