Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.