Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 0
Troyes

Lirola (74')
Gueye (16')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Salmier (10'), Tardieu (17'), Kone (43'), Rodrigues (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Troyes
58.38%	22.55%	19.07%

Both teams to score 51.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.89%

47.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65%

69.35%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18%

15.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55%

45%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3%

38.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56%

75.44%

Score Analysis

Marseille 58.37%

Troyes 19.07%

Draw 22.54%

Marseille	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.37%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.54%	0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.07%

How you voted: Marseille vs Troyes

Marseille

85.7%

Draw

11.4%

Troyes

2.9%