Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Troyes |
55.24% | 23.89% | 20.87% |
Both teams to score 50.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% | 50.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% | 72.22% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% | 18.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% | 48.98% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% | 38.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% | 75.34% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |