Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Metz |
| 60.28% | 22.09% | 17.63% |
| Both teams to score 50.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% | 69.58% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% | 15.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% | 43.98% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% | 40.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.27% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.75% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.63% |