Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Metz |
| 41.64% | 27.99% | 30.36% |
| Both teams to score 46.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% | 79.54% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% | 27.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% | 63.59% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% | 35.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% | 71.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.36% |