Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
| 36.76% | 27.61% | 35.63% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% | 56.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% | 77.72% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% | 66.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.62% |