Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
30.85% | 27.46% | 41.69% |
Both teams to score 48.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.98% | 57.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.09% | 77.91% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% | 26.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% | 62.29% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2% Total : 41.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |