Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 46.01% | 27.86% | 26.12% |
| Both teams to score 44.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% | 60.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% | 80.6% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% | 76.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.12% |