Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
27.25% | 25.03% | 47.71% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% | 49.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.82% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% | 20.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% | 53.21% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |