Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 22, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 1
Troyes

Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Troyes
59.35%	21.56%	19.09%

Both teams to score 54.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25%

42.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85%

65.15%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96%

14.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39%

41.61%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87%

36.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.91%

Score Analysis

Lyon 59.35%

Troyes 19.09%

Draw 21.56%

Lyon	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.35%	1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.09%

How you voted: Lyon vs Troyes

Lyon

84.5%

Draw

13.1%

Troyes

2.4%