Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Dembele (8'), Denayer (64'), Paqueta (87')
Diomande (29'), Boateng (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diallo (90+6' pen.)
Djiku (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
65.73%	19.59%	14.67%

Both teams to score 52.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.14%

41.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.74%

64.26%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09%

11.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.75%

37.25%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05%

40.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49%

77.5%

Score Analysis

Lyon 65.72%

Strasbourg 14.67%

Draw 19.59%

Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
2-0 @ 11.03% 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.12% 5-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.61% Total : 65.72%	1-1 @ 9.27% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.59%	0-1 @ 4.35% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.67%