Potential new EL header

Europa League

Marseille
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lazio logo

Marseille
2 - 2
Lazio

Milik (33' pen.), Payet (82')
Rongier (79'), Harit (86'), Payet (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Anderson (45+7'), Immobile (49')
Acerbi (32'), Pedro (36'), Immobile (44'), Anderson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLazio
52.54%25.29%22.16%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65%54.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27%75.73%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.29%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38%39.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7%76.29%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.54%
    Lazio 22.16%
    Draw 25.28%
MarseilleDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lazio

Marseille
50.7%
Draw
18.3%
Lazio
31.0%
71
rhs 2.0


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