Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Turk Telekom Arena
Galatasaray4 - 2Marseille
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Marseille |
| 33.53% | 28.41% | 38.06% |
| Both teams to score 46.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.85% | 80.15% |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% | 33.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.95% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% | 30.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Galatasaray 33.52%
Marseille 38.06%
Draw 28.4%
| Galatasaray | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.06% |
How you voted: Galatasaray vs Marseille
Galatasaray
55.4%Draw
27.4%Marseille
17.3%168


