Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 41.63% | 27.75% | 30.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% | 58.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% | 78.82% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% | 63.04% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% | 34.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% | 71.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.62% |