Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 46.58% | 26.69% | 26.73% |
| Both teams to score 48.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% | 56.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% | 24.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% | 58.3% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% | 36.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% | 73.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.73% |