Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
| 55.64% | 24.14% | 20.22% |
| Both teams to score 48.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% | 52.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% | 73.78% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% | 18.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% | 49.85% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% | 76.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.22% |